Monday, 21 May 2018

2017-18 NFL Game Picks Chart

2017-18

REGULAR SEASON
POST SEASON
WILD CARD
DIVISIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP
CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP
SUPER BOWL
*PRO BOWL*
vs. spread
121-135
9-1
4-0
4-0
1-1
1-0
1-0
straight up
164-92
9-1
3-1
4-0
2-0
0-1
1-0





*NOTE: All Vs. Spread selections that end in a bettors 'push' will be counted as a win; All Straight Up selections that end in a tie will be counted as a win*

Saturday, 3 February 2018

2017-18 NFL PLAYOFFS: SUPER BOWL

SUNDAY
STRAIGHT UP
vs SPREAD
PHI v NE
NE
PHI +5.5

SUN
STRAIGHT UP
vs SPREAD
PHI v NE
NE
PHI +5.5
BREAKOUT ALERT
B. Graham, DE
Away
Home
T. Brady, QB
SUPER STAT

The NE tandem of Brady-Belichick will be playing in their 8th Super Bowl, attempting to win their 6th Championship Title (this will be their 3rd Super Bowl contest played in the past 4 Seasons); Patriots QB Tom Brady has competed in a Super Bowl 50% of his Seasons played in the NFL (8 times in 16 campaigns); NE QB Brady is favoured to win the 2017 NFL MVP, leading his team to a 13-3 record with a league-leading 4,577 Passing Yards, 32 TDs, 8 INTs & a QB Rating of 102.8; Pats Offence was 1st in Total Yardage, 2nd in Passing Yardage, 2nd in Points Scored and 10th in Rushing Yards in 2017-18; Patriots Defence allowed only 168 Points over their final 12 games played in the Regular Season (an average of 14-PPG allowed per contest), allowed only 18.5 per game on average for the entire Season (ranking 5th best in PPG allowed with @Road contests averaging 16.1 PPG allowed to opponents which ranks second-fewest per league Defences in 2017-18) but ranked 29th in Total Yards allowed (an average of 394 per game, 4th worst in league-wide rankings); NE TE Gronkowski suffered two concussions in 2017-18; In the Divisional Championship game, PHI backup QB Nick Foles shredded MIN Top Ranked Defence in 2017-18 for Passing Totals of 26 of 33 for 352 Yards, 3 TDs, 0 INT (final score being 38-7 for Philadelphia); Eagles Defensive Ends were responsible for 22 sacks this Season; PHI Defence have allowed point totals of 10, 6, 10 & 7 in their past 4 outings (an average of 8.25 Points per Game). However, all of these games were played in Philadelphia &, when playing @Road, Eagles surrendered 23.5 PPG to opponents for the Season; No Brady-Belichick Super Bowl was ever decided by a TD or more (point differentials being 3 ,3 ,3 ,3 ,4 ,4 & 6 *the 6-point win came in OT in last year’s Pats Super Bowl victory*); Eagles sported a 13-3 Regular Season record in 2017-18; Super Bowl underdogs have covered in 13 of the past 17 Super Bowls played and have won outright in 5 of the last 6 contests (the Patriots last year being the lone favourite to win).

Saturday, 27 January 2018

2017-18 NFL SEASON: *PRO BOWL*

SUNDAY
STRAIGHT UP
vs SPREAD
AFC v NFC
AFC
AFC +2.5

*PRO BOWL*
STRAIGHT UP
vs SPREAD
AFC v NFC
AFC
AFC +2.5
BREAKOUT ALERT
Everybody & Nobody
Away
Home
Everybody & Nobody
SUPER STAT

Pro Bowl rules in effect – the only logical play is the underdog.

Saturday, 20 January 2018

2017-18 NFL PLAYOFFS: CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

SUNDAY
STRAIGHT UP
vs SPREAD
JAX v NE
NE
NE -8.5
MIN v PHI
PHI
PHI +3.0

SUN
STRAIGHT UP
vs SPREAD
JAX v NE
NE
NE -8.5
BREAKOUT ALERT
L. Fournette, RB
Away
Home
T. Brady, QB
SUPER STAT

JAX DEF has allowed an average of 32-PPG to opponents in their last 4 @Road games (PIT, SF, ARI & TEN); NE DEF has allowed an average of 14-PPG to opponents in their last 13 games (over the course of the streak, NE is 6-0 @Home, winning by an average of 17.3 points + have won their last 6 @Home Playoff games by an average of 18.3 points); JAX DEF ranked 2nd in the NFL in Turnovers produced this season (21 Takeaways, 12 Fumbles Recovered) + allowed the fewest opponent Passing Yards + allowed the 2nd fewest Points & Total Yards; NE Offense ranked 1st in Total Yards & 2nd in PPG this season.


SNF
STRAIGHT UP
vs SPREAD
MIN v PIT
PHI
PHI +3.0
BREAKOUT ALERT
E. Kendricks, LB
Away
Home
B. Graham, DE
SUPER STAT

MIN DEF allowed 20+-points to opponents only 5 times this season + was the top scoring DEF in the NFL; MIN is 12-1 when scoring 20+-PPG this season; PHI was 7-1 @Home this season with their lone loss coming in their last game of the year (DAL); Eagles Rush Offence ranked 3rd in this NFL this season; PHI DEF ranked 1st in opponent Rush Yards allowed this campaign + 4th in Total Yards allowed; Opponents have not scored more than 10-points in the last 4 @Home Eagles games; PHI Offense ranked in the top-5 in PPG & DEF ranked in the top-5 in PPG allowed this year; PHI ranked 4th in the NFL in Turnover Margin this season.

Saturday, 13 January 2018

2017-18 NFL PLAYOFFS: DIVISIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP ROUND

SATURDAY
STRAIGHT UP
vs SPREAD
ATL v PHI
PHI
PHI +3.0
TEN v NE
NE
NE -14.0
SUNDAY
STRAIGHT UP
vs SPREAD
JAX v PIT
JAX
JAX +7.5
NO v MIN
MIN
MIN -4.5

SAT
STRAIGHT UP
vs SPREAD
ATL v PHI
PHI
PHI +3.0
BREAKOUT ALERT
J. Jones, WR
Away
Home
J. Mills, CB
SUPER STAT

PHI owned the 4th ranked DEF + wrangled the 4th most Turnovers + scored the 3rd most Points in the NFL this season; Eagles are the only team in NFL history to enter the Playoffs with home field advantage and not be favoured vs. spread; ATL has won 7 out their last 9 outings (losses vs. NO & MIN); ATL, @Road, held the league-leaders in scoring this season, the LA Rams, to less than 2 TDs in last weekend’s Wild Card matchup.


SATNF
STRAIGHT UP
vs SPREAD
TEN v NE
NE
NE -14.0
BREAKOUT ALERT
K. Byard, FS
Away
Home
R. Gronkowski, TE
SUPER STAT

NE has won their last six @Home Playoff matchups by an average of 17.8-PPG (averaging 36.6-PPG scored in those matchups); In their final five @Home contests this season, Pats DEF allowed an average of only 11.8-PPG to opponents (while also ranking 5th this season in total Defensive Points Allowed); TEN Offence averaged 18-PPG @Road this season with QB Mariota tossing 7 TDs-to-12 INTs & the team sporting a 3-5 record in 8 contests; NE averaged 29.4-PPG @Home this season (and ranked #2 in the NFL in Points scored this year); TEN RB DeMarco Murray will not play (led team in total carries this year); Titans scored fewer Points on Offense this season than their DEF surrendered to opponents; TEN DEF allowed opposing TEs an average of 5 Receptions & 53 Receiving per game to go with 5 TDs this past campaign (NE Rob Gronkowski owned the most Receiving Yards & 2nd most TDs for a TE this season while only playing 14 of 16 games + Pats won the Super Bowl last season without Gronk in the lineup); NE defeated only one team this season @Home by more than 2 TDs that wasn’t a Divisional opponent (ATL) + TEN lost only one @Road contest by 2 TDs that wasn’t against a Divisional opponent (PIT); Titans FS Kevin Byard led the NFL in INTs & was 2nd in INT yards this season.


SUN
STRAIGHT UP
vs SPREAD
JAX v PIT
JAX
JAX +7.5
BREAKOUT ALERT
C. Campbell, DE
Away
Home
S. Davis, SS
SUPER STAT

JAX QB Bortles has played in only one contest in below-freezing temperatures since entering the NFL; PIT top-wideout Antonio Brown playing with a tear in his calf (to be covered by JAX CB Jalen Ramsey who collectively ranked in the top-15 in Secondary players this season); Jaguars, @Road, defeated the Steelers back in Week 5 by a score of 30-9; JAX DEF allowed the 2nd fewest PPG to opponents this season &, when @Road, the fewest Receiving Yards to opponents of any squad; JAX scored more Offensive PPG & allowed fewer Defensive PPG than the Steelers did this past campaign; Jaguars ranked 2nd in the NFL this season in Takeaways & Intercepted PIT QB Roethlisberger 5 times in their Week 5 meeting; Steelers top LB & overall best defender, Ryan Shazier, will not play.


SNF
STRAIGHT UP
vs SPREAD
NO v MIN
MIN
MIN -4.5
BREAKOUT ALERT
D. Brees, QB
Away
Home
H. Smith, FS
SUPER STAT

NO RB Alvin Kamara is expected to be named Rookie of the Year for the 2017-18 season; MIN DEF, @Home, held clubs to an average 12.5-PPG this year, allowing only 5.7-PPG over their final 3 Regular Season matchups; Vikings are 25-10 in their past 35 @Home contests; MIN owned #2 ranked Rush Defence this year+ allowed fewest Rush Yards to opponents when playing @Home this season + allowed opponents to convert only ¼ of all third-downs + allowed fewest PPG & Offensive Yards to opponents this season; NO RB combo Kamara & Mark Ingram combined for an average of 193 Rush Yards from scrimmage per game this year; Saints QB Brees is 1-4 Straight Up in 5 @Road Playoff contests; MIN QB Keenum, making his playoff debut *since 2002, first-time Playoff QBs are 4-12 SU* produced 8 TDs-to-2 INTs with a 100.1 QBR when playing @Home this season; NO Offence scored the 4th most PPG in the NFL this season; Vikings, @Home, won the Week 1 matchup between these opponents by a score of 29-19 (the 19-points scored by the Saints was the most Points the MIN Defence surrendered to an opponent when playing @Home this year *including a contest against the league-leaders in scoring this season, the LA Rams, who put up just 7 points*); Vikings lost only one @Home game this season (to Divisional opponent DET) but otherwise was victorious in every other contest by a minimum of 10-pts.